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020 _a9781316507957
041 _aeng
082 _a121
_bEEL
100 _aEells, Ellery
245 0 _aRational decision and causality /
_cEllery Eells.
260 _aNew York:
_bCambridge university press,
_c2016.
300 _axi, 216 p.
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
505 _a1 Bayesianism Subjective expected utility Foundations of subjective probability Learning 2 The philosophical and psychological significance of Bayesian decision theory A theory of human rationality A theory of human behavior Foundations and applications of subjective probability 3 Bayesian decision theories: some details Ramsey Savage Jeffrey Existence theorem Uniqueness theorem A comparison 4 The counterexamples 5 Causal decision theories Gibbard and Harper Skyrms Lewis Discussion 6 Common causes, reasons and symptomatic acts 7 A general defense of PMCEU The ''tickle defense'' The more general setting The weaker assumptions Causes, reasons and probability The general defense 8 Newcomb's paradox
520 _aFirst published in 1982, Ellery Eells' original work on rational decision making had extensive implications for probability theorists, economists, statisticians and psychologists concerned with decision making and the employment of Bayesian principles.
650 _aBayesian statistical decision theory.
650 _aUtility theory.
650 _aCausation.
942 _cENG
999 _c99087
_d99087